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◆ VOLATILITY & POSITION SIZING • CRASH RECOVERY ASYMMETRY LAB

Crypto Dollar-Cost Averaging & Drawdown Risk Analyzer

Digital assets carry extreme drawdown risk, including total loss on speculative tokens. Test recurring purchases alongside severe crash scenarios (0% to -100%) to see how position sizing affects overall household net worth.

DISPLAY SYMBOL (1:1 NO FX):
FRED · BLS · US-STATUTORY-2026.11 Plain-English A–Z Glossary →
Enter Your Numbers RUNS PRIVATELY IN YOUR BROWSER
$200/mo
4 Years
+20.0%/yr
-55% Crash
5% Allocation
Your Results & Breakdown 2026 U.S. FORMULA
BTC DCA Projected Value
$13,980
$9,600 total DCA invested over 48 mos
Value If -55% Crash Hits
$6,291
Drawdown exposure: -$7,689
Gain Needed to Recover Crash
+122%
A -55% drop requires +122% to break even
Total Net-Worth Impact
-2.8%
5% portfolio allocation cap
Ready: Type exact dollar or percentage figures or drag any slider to update your tax, interest, and cash-flow breakdown immediately.

Privacy Note: All math runs locally in your browser. If you click Copy My Scenario Link, your entered numbers are encoded in that link so you can revisit or share the scenario.

◆ METHODOLOGY & PLAIN-ENGLISH GUIDE (CLICK DOTTED TERMS FOR DEFINITIONS)

Why Percentage Losses Require Exponentially Larger Gains

A -50% drawdown requires a +100% gain to return to even; a -80% drawdown requires +400%; a -90% drawdown requires +900%; and a -100% wipeout can never recover mathematically. Selecting BTC, ETH, or SOL above labels your scenario—all calculations run strictly on the annualized return and crash percentages you specify.